iMoRe №101. Medium-term Budget Planning and a New Instrument for the Banks Capitalization

The major events of this round – changes in the Budget Code regarding the medium-term budget planning, the introduction of a new tool for capitalization of banks and the expansion of the list of data that banks should publish.

The index for monitoring of reforms (iMoRe)

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The index for monitoring of reforms (iMoRe) is +0,8 points for the period from December 24, 2018 – January 13, 2019 on a scale of -5,0 to +5,0. In the previous round the index was +0,6 points.

The major events of this round – changes in the Budget Code regarding the medium-term budget planning, the introduction of a new tool for capitalization of banks and the expansion of the list of data that banks should publish.

Chart 1. іMoRe dynamics

The index for monitoring of reforms (iMoRe)

Chart 2. іMoRe and its components in the current round

The index for monitoring of reforms (iMoRe)

Major events of this round

Changes in the Budget Code regarding the medium-term budget planning, +2,0 points

Budget planning for a three-year perspective is provided by the Budget Code. According to him, in 2017, the Ministry of Finance in a pilot mode developed a Budget Declaration for three years, which was slightly different in content from the previous ones, but contained “ceilings” of expenses for the next three years. There were not enough legislative mechanisms to change the essence and content of this document.

Therefore, the amendments to the Budget Code on the introduction of medium-term budget planning (Law 2646-VIII of December 6, 2018) adopted in December 2018 became important.

According to this law, the Budget Declaration becomes the basic document of the budget process. It will be designed for 3 years (previously for 1 year). Its content is significantly expanding. In addition to the provisions that existed before, it will now contain:

  • public policy objectives for which the main manager of budgetary funds is responsible, and indicators of their achievement;
  • extreme indicators of expenditure and the provision of loans in general and for the main managers of budget funds;
  • fiscal risk assessment.

The main managers of budget funds will now not only formulate policy priorities for the next three years, but also clearly define key performance indicators of their budget programs. They will also publicly report on the implementation of these indicators. 

In addition, the law introduces new budget rules. To the rule that state and publicly guaranteed debt may not exceed 60% of GDP, the following are added:

  • budget deficit cannot exceed 3% of GDP,
  • state guarantees may not exceed 3% of the revenues of the general fund of the State budget,
  • the maximum deficit of the State budget in the Law on the State Budget cannot be higher than the deficit in the Budget Declaration.

The new instrument for the banks capitalization is introduced, +2,0 points

Stress testing of the 24 largest banks of Ukraine in 2018 showed that the capital of almost half of the banks falls below the ceiling under an unfavorable macroeconomic scenario. This means that in the event of an unfavorable economic situation in banks, there may be a shortage of capital. In order to reduce these risks, banks must implement capitalization programs.

In order for banks to have more opportunities to attract additional funds, the NBU introduced a new instrument. Banks will be able to attract investors’ funds, which, in the event of a certain critical situation, will be converted into shares of this bank.

In formal terms, the bank converts or writes off obligations for this instrument in the event of a triggering event — a decrease in the bank’s capital adequacy ratio (excluding the instrument) below 6.25%. As a result of the conversion, the funds raised are directed to the acquisition of ordinary shares of the bank, which will make it possible to increase the size of its authorized capital. In case of write-off, the bank will receive income that will “absorb” current losses from its activities.

This tool is long-term, the term of raising funds for it should be at least 50 years. Depreciation on this instrument may occur over a period of 15 years before the deadline for repayment.

National Bank expands the list of data to be published by banks, +2,0 points

Bank customers need information to make rational decisions about the appropriateness of working with them. When there is not enough information (there is an information asymmetry), customers cannot adequately assess the risks of banks, predict possible problems and, accordingly, choose the most reliable bank. All this creates distrust in the interaction between banks and their customers.

In order for customers to have more information about the activities of banks, the NBU is taking measures to improve the access to the data.

In May 2015 (iMoRe # 10), the NBU ordered banks to disclose information about their ultimate owners. Now on the NBU site there is information about the owners of all Ukrainian banks.

Also, in January 2018, the NBU significantly expanded the amount of information (iMoRe # 79), which banks must make public. He began to publish economic standards on banks  that were previously available only to the banking system as a whole. Banks also began publishing revolving balance sheets, information on the structure of the loan portfolio by economic activity, as well as data on the quality of the loan portfolio on their websites.

The next step in ensuring transparency of the banking system of the NBU was made with the help of Decree No. 157 of December 27, 2018. Now Ukrainians can learn about:

  • distribution of loans, including non-performing, by the type of economic activity of borrowers,
  • distribution of deposits of individuals in terms of currencies and amounts of deposits,
  • amount of possible compensation by the Deposit Guarantee Fund.

Also, banks will begin annually publish the results of their sustainability assessment.

Chart 3. Value of іMoRe components and number of events

The index for monitoring of reforms (iMoRe)

(Please see other charts on the website)

Note: Index for Monitoring Reforms (iMoRe) from VoxUkraine aims to provide a comprehensive assessment of reform efforts by Ukraine’s authorities. The Index is based on expert assessments of changes in the regulatory environment in five areas:

  1. Governance
  2. Public Finance
  3. Monetary system
  4. Business Environment
  5. Energy

For details please visit imorevox.org.

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